Democrats, winter is coming.
During a Thursday luncheon last week with DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney, Frontline Democrats – the party’s most endangered lawmakers – were told that, in battleground districts, the generic Republican is beating the generic Democrat, 47-39, according to lawmakers, multiple party officials and the DCCC.
Now the issue is ONLY whether the elections will be free and fair or not…
The only pollster giving Democrats a lead outside the margins of error in this list is YouGov, which has been a consistent D+4 – D+6 outlier. Without them in the mix, this chart would look even worse.
… The primaries taking place this spring should serve as a siren on that point. Last month, Ohio had competitive primaries for both parties in their statewide gubernatorial and US Senate elections, and Republican turnout was double that of Democrats.