Category: Polls

Categories
Current Events Polls

The polls

just don’t look good for Biden. That said, how accurate are polls anymore, anyway?

I agree that there are HUGE problems with polling now. One would be foolish to lean heavily on them. But who is more likely to tell a stranger their preference–Biden voters or Trump voters? Hmmm…

Still, these polls are measuring something. The RCP average at least is potentially a bit clarifying. And then this is a real hammer coming down on Biden’s head:

Joe’s main selling point has been that at least he is more likable than Trump. I mean, why else would you vote for him? But even that seems to have dissipated…

Trump hatred can only get you so far. And we may be seeing the limits of that strategy…

Categories
Democrat Flop-Sweat Polls

Look at what

is actually going on!

Just know, the day that a majority of Hispanics start voting GOP is the same day Democrats suddenly want a border wall!

The survey found that since Biden took office in 2021, the president’s support among Latinos has decreased by 12 points. In comparison, Trump’s support among the group increased eight points during the same period to 32 percent.

….“Our coalition message to Black and Hispanic communities this election is simple,” the Trump campaign said. “If you want strong borders, safe neighborhoods, rising wages, quality jobs, school choice, and the return of the strongest economy in over 60 years, then vote for Donald J. Trump.”

Categories
Polls

Let’s look at the

state-level data–because THAT is what counts…

Keep your eyes open!

Categories
Polls

I think it’s a

really good question. Are the repeated findings we see of Trump getting 20% of the Black vote (or more in some polls) even halfway realistic?

At this point, there’s not much dispute that polling shows a substantial swing vis-à-vis 2020, which is particularly strong among minority voters. Horse-race polls in the 2024 rematch typically show Donald Trump attracting in the neighborhood of 20% of the black vote, which would be a historically strong showing.

I don’t know what will happen. I’m not sure the polls are accurate–it’s still very hard to believe. But these are catastrophic numbers for Biden!

Categories
Polls

I wonder if

that’s true. If true, it brings the cold hand of death to Biden (not that he was all that far away from it in the first place). It’s a very recent Rasmussen poll.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 28% of Likely U.S. Voters say they are likely to vote for a third-party candidate in this year’s presidential election, including 12% who are Very Likely to vote third-party. 

And Big Mike ain’t gonna be much of a help to Democrats!

Categories
Polls

Oh yes, interesting

and encouraging.

But remember, run through the tape, not to the tape!

Categories
Polls

So what will

happen in the fall elections? Will voter fraud carry the day for Senile Joe?

And 28% of Black voters? Oh my Heavens!

Forty-nine percent (49%) of whites, 28% of black voters and 51% of other minorities favor Republicans…

Categories
Current Events Politics Polls

A little more

cheerful data:

If this trend holds up on election day, it portends a near-extinction level event for Democrats. Democrats depend on minority votes to win elections. They haven’t won the white vote in a presidential election for 60 years. This can only mean one thing: Democrats will turn up the racism charge all the way to 11 and beyond. But after dealing the race card from the bottom of the deck for so long, will it still work as well (except among guilty white liberals and the college-miseducated)?

Categories
Polls

Well, that is

indeed interesting.

Categories
Current Events Polls

No SOTU bump

at all for Biden. Please, keep on talking, Joe!

Democrats were counting on Joe Biden’s State of the Union address to give him a bump in the polls. Americans on both sides of the aisle have been expressing concerns over Joe Biden’s advanced age and cognitive decline. The devastating Hur report, which found that Joe Biden willfully retained, mishandled, and disclosed classified information but he is essentially too senile to stand trial, did him no favors either.

… So, it’s quite clear that a lot was riding on the State of the Union address, and Democrats ought to be panicking because new polling since the speech shows no bump at all.

… Biden’s “fiery” performance (which is widely believed to have been due to medication) didn’t change voters’ attitudes about his fitness for office, either. Fewer than 30% of respondents said that Biden was fit for a second term — essentially unchanged from their previous poll. Over 50% of participants also described the president as “mostly passive” in his role, down slightly from 54% in the prior survey.