but it certainly is not good news for “Biden” (we are legion).
Only 21 percent of voters “strongly” approved of President Joe Biden, while 49 percent “strongly” disapproved, a recent Rasmussen poll found, raising reelection concerns for the president.
… Overall, the poll found a 20 point differential between voters who approved of Biden and those who did not:
good reason for the Left to panic.
The reason behind the president’s solicitation was simple: Biden’s support among Hispanics — particularly young Latino men — is lukewarm. And in some cases, polls show he is losing support among the key Democratic voting bloc. At the same time, Trump appears to be gaining support from Hispanics.
… Another problem for Biden: If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gets on the ballot in states like Nevada and Arizona, as political observers predict, he could see further erosion in his support.
head for the exits! And for good reason…
ARE different now!
want it. Heck, I want it! But I am quite skeptical that it will happen. I think the “pull” is almost irresistible that Trump will choose a woman. And indeed, that may well be the “smart” move. Plus, Trump was very foolish in his juvenile hammering of DeSantis. I think it is a “black mark” on Trump himself–I’m really not sure that bridge can be rebuilt. It’s a shame…
But I hope it is Ron DeSantis. It won’t be, but that would be my strong preference.
In any case, let’s say that Trump picks Kristi Noem (a pretty dang good choice) as a running mate and then in 4 years she runs for President–choosing DeSantis as her running mate.
Yeah, that would be fine, too. But I think Ron DeSantis is a HUGE talent and should be used. Along with Tom Cotton (another HUGE talent).
Actually, I very much like DeSantis as Governor of Florida. However, he is term-limited and can’t run again next time. Now he can after that, since the limit there is two consecutive terms. If someone is Florida Governor after him, he is again eligible.
cheerful data:
If this trend holds up on election day, it portends a near-extinction level event for Democrats. Democrats depend on minority votes to win elections. They haven’t won the white vote in a presidential election for 60 years. This can only mean one thing: Democrats will turn up the racism charge all the way to 11 and beyond. But after dealing the race card from the bottom of the deck for so long, will it still work as well (except among guilty white liberals and the college-miseducated)?
that the shift we are seeing is real. I sure hope so!
My colleague at the American Enterprise Institute Ruy Teixeira, as well as GOP pollster Patrick Ruffini, have storehouses of data that show Democrats losing non-college-educated minority voters—Hispanic voters in particular—to Republicans. Each new survey confirms their findings. The evidence is overwhelming.
… “The migration we’re seeing today is not so much natural Democrats becoming disillusioned,” writes Burn-Murdoch, “but natural Republicans realizing they’ve been voting for the wrong party.” That has made Trump’s GOP more diverse, more non-college, and more conservative.
… A realigned politics is unstable. As the Democrats become the party of college-educated, affluent insiders, they become removed from the world of non-college-educated workers who feel ignored or excluded from elite institutions and expert decision-making. The professionalization of print, digital, and broadcast media has estranged writers and talkers from most Americans. The highly educated, highly compensated denizens of Washington, D.C., and its surrounding counties have become a world unto themselves.
… The Democratic coalition has imploded. And the fourth stage of realignment—raucous, demotic, performative, over-the-top, transgressive, and potentially earth-shattering—is about to begin.
shall see. It’s just that historically it has always been on the horizon but never arriving.
Now, it’s true that we are seeing some different things this time, and that makes me hopeful. But still…
If reality is anything within 10 points of what is shown here, Democrats are well and truly hosed.
We’ve known for years that the black and Hispanic vote has been trending more Republican. But as the Democrats’ share of the white vote shrinks and the GOP minority support increases, Democrats find themselves in dire straits.
pretty dang obvious the “squeeze” the Democrats are in: Joe Biden is a senile old corruptocrat, and everyone knows it. Yet they have no good viable half-decent alternatives!
Democratic voters would like to see President Joe Biden replaced as the party’s 2024 pick, but they are scrunching their nose at the poor collection of alternatives.
While recent polls have suggested that Democrats would back former first lady Michelle Obama, a Rasmussen Reports survey shared with Secrets on Monday found that the leading pick among Democrats is “none of them” at 27%. [emphasis added]
senile and actually not running the show, right? Try as his lackeys might, they can’t “hide the decline.”
Nate Silver’s article:
If you’re someone who would rather not see Trump re-elected again or who cares about the election for other reasons, it’s time to face the facts. You need to adjust to the new reality and not be mired in anchoring bias by your previous impression of the race.
And:
It is a reason for Democrats to be the adults in the room and acknowledge that someone who can’t sit through a Super Bowl interview isn’t someone the public can trust to have the physical and mental stamina to handle an international crisis, terrorist attack, or some other unforeseen threat when he’ll be in his mid-80s.
Silver himself, while a hard Lefty, is not at all optimistic about Joe’s chance of political survival:
If Biden doesn’t drop out of the race between Super Tuesday and the convention, they’ll kick him to the curb faster than you (he) can say: “I’m an elderly man, and I know what the hell I’m doing.”
OK, but then what, Nate? If there were another half-decent option, Biden would already begone. But there just isn’t, which is why Joe is still there. I mean, he initially was expected to serve only one term, anyway.
But, in a paraphrase of Emperor Hirohito’s famous words, “The [electoral] situation has developed not necessarily to [Democrats’] advantage]”