no idea what is actually happening in Ukraine. The “fog of war” is famously deceptive, and both sides wage a PR war to show how successful they are.
Still, there is good evidence that Ukraine is winning–something that I personally never thought could happen.
Summarizing: Russian troops in the Kharkov/Kharkiv area are running away, leaving equipment behind, Ukrainian forces are alleged to be operating within Russian Federation territory (Masgramondou can see this happening for at least a small marauding force pursuing fleeing Russian troops), rocket strikes seem to be happening on Russian bases inside Russian territory, and a (so far smallish) group of Russian deputies to the Duma (=parliament) are calling for Putin’s ouster.