you for several weeks now that the political “hit” on Joe Biden has gone out. I’m now about 80% sure that he will be forced out. Joe Biden may well not be the Democrat candidate.
Just a guess, but I think the word has gone out from the Obama redoubt in Martha’s Vineyard and/or his shadow White House in Kalorama that the New York Times needs to lead the push this week to force Biden out of the race. The Times is doom-scrolling its latest poll showing Biden on his way to certain defeat to Trump. Yesterday’s installment gave the raw numbers—Biden is eroding across the board.
here:
It seems pretty obvious what is happening. But, of course, Biden says he will not leave, Yeah, maybe…
And indeed, there are HUGE problems with replacing him. There is just no realistic option. Kamala is even less palatable than Joe for most people, and she has signaled that she wants the Presidency. To replace her with anyone who is not both female and Black is pretty much electoral suicide–yet she is just horrible as a candidate!
Now Michelle Obama fits the bill on race and gender (ignoring the depth of the Kamala non-acceptance of that outcome problem for a moment), but she has said in the past that she is not interested. Now that certainly doesn’t mean that she won’t recant and run, but still, she is totally untried–we have no idea how she will react to the heat and pressure of a campaign. And maybe (perhaps probably) she really doesn’t have that “fire in the belly” that is required to seek the Presidency. And for the DNC, it would truly be buying a cat in a bag.
And no other possible option has the name recognition to do it. But also, could she survive a primary? Probably not, and the DNC play would be to spring her on us at the last possible second so as to avoid a primary. They wouldn’t even see how Michelle Obama would handle other Democrats in a primary! But is that wise?
And besides, it’s not like Kamala would just meekly and subserviently step aside. No, it would be a knock-down, drag-out brawl of EPIC proportions! Democrats certainly don’t want THAT…
So we’re back to square one. Joe Biden is a horrible option, but is there a better one? I mean, maybe Michelle Obama has agreed to do it and THAT is why the “hit” on Joe Biden was put out.
Or maybe it was put out to try and get Michelle Obama to agree to do it. Really, it’s hard to tell from here. All that is certain right now is that the political hit has been put out on Joe Biden.
But even if Michelle Obama throws her size 8 hat into the ring, she’s gonna get bloodied up.